How our analysis works

One stock, thirteen sections: its filings and earnings, the options market and its largest trades, what traders on X are saying and the macro backdrop. Our analysis weighs them all and projects a price for about two weeks, three months and six months out.

Analyze a stock →
EXMP analysis$48.30 · Aug 28
TODAY
NEAR $46.60 Sep 14
MID $50.25 Nov 30
FAR $53.65 Mar 1
TODAY
NEAR $46.60 Sep 14
MID $50.25 Nov 30
FAR $53.65 Mar 1
Voicesvia X · EXMP

Aug 27 · @handle — Constructive into year-end; capacity, not demand, is the constraint. X ↗

Aug 21 · @handle — The raised guide matters more than the beat itself. X ↗

Aug 14 · @handle — Watching whether margins hold as the new supply deal ramps. X ↗

Large options tradesEXMP
Premium in large trades $38.0M last five sessions
callsputs$4.1M$2.0MAug 25$6.3M$3.2MAug 26$2.4M$5.1MAug 27$7.8M$1.9MAug 28$3.6M$1.6Mtoday
callsputs$4.1M$2.0MAug 25$6.3M$3.2MAug 26$2.4M$5.1MAug 27$7.8M$1.9MAug 28$3.6M$1.6Mtoday
callsputs$4.1M$2.0MAug 25$6.3M$3.2MAug 26$2.4M$5.1MAug 27$7.8M$1.9MAug 28$3.6M$1.6Mtoday
Macro & regimemacro board
VIX level 14.38 15.4018.7216.0514.381y ago3m ago1m agoNow15.4018.7216.0514.381y ago3m ago1m agoNow Year’s low 12.81 · high 29.66
Illustrative example with made-up figures. EXMP is a made-up symbol.

From data to three projected prices

  1. Market prices16:00:03 ET
    Options quotes15:59:58 ET
    SEC filings · 10-Qfiled Aug 21
    News09:12 ET

    1 · Collect

    We pull market data and public filings for the stock. Every figure keeps its source and the time we fetched it.

  2. FundamentalsTechnicalsOptionsEarningsEarn. historyLarge tradesSectorPeersInsidersNewsVoicesMacro

    2 · Compute

    Our code builds each section from that data. Every figure in a section comes from this step.

  3. OUR PROJECTION

    TODAYAUG 31JUL 312 WKSSEP 14NEAR · 2 WEEKS — Our projection points to $46.603 MOSNOV 30MID · 3 MONTHS — Our projection points to $50.256 MOSMAR 1FAR · 6 MONTHS — Our projection points to $53.65 TODAYAUG 31JUL 312 WKSSEP 14NEAR · 2 WEEKS — Our projection points to $46.603 MOSNOV 30MID · 3 MONTHS — Our projection points to $50.256 MOSMAR 1FAR · 6 MONTHS — Our projection points to $53.65
    NEAR$46.60
    MID$50.25
    FAR$53.65

    3 · Synthesize

    Our analysis weighs the sections and projects three prices, each with its date and the thesis behind it.

What traders on X are saying, and the backdrop they trade in

Voices pulls what prominent traders on X are saying about the stock, each post linked and summed up in one line. Macro & regime graphs the backdrop: the VIX, the S&P 500, Treasury yields, inflation, jobs, the dollar and commodities, each against its past year. Our analysis weighs the backdrop on every plan, and Voices on Core and Premium.

See Voices ↓

VoicesEXMP

Aug 27 · @handle — Constructive into year-end; capacity, not demand, is the constraint. X ↗

Aug 21 · @handle — The raised guide matters more than the beat itself. X ↗

Aug 14 · @handle — Watching whether margins hold as the new supply deal ramps. X ↗

Each post named, dated and linked in a real analysis.

Macro & regimeEXMP
VIX level 14.38 15.4018.7216.0514.38Year ago3 mo agoMonth agoNow15.4018.7216.0514.38Year ago3 mo agoMonth agoNow
10-year Treasury yield 4.21% 3.86%4.41%4.37%4.21%Year ago3 mo agoMonth agoNow3.86%4.41%4.37%4.21%Year ago3 mo agoMonth agoNow

The thirteen sections

Thirteen angles on the same stock, each drawn the way the app draws it.

Each section below is given as plan · shows · feeds the projected prices.

Projected pricesEXMP
TODAYAUG 31JUL 312 WKSSEP 14NEAR · 2 WEEKS — Our projection points to $46.603 MOSNOV 30MID · 3 MONTHS — Our projection points to $50.256 MOSMAR 1FAR · 6 MONTHS — Our projection points to $53.65 TODAYAUG 31JUL 312 WKSSEP 14NEAR · 2 WEEKS — Our projection points to $46.603 MOSNOV 30MID · 3 MONTHS — Our projection points to $50.256 MOSMAR 1FAR · 6 MONTHS — Our projection points to $53.65
NEAR · 2 WEEKS$46.60
MID · 3 MONTHS$50.25
FAR · 6 MONTHS$53.65

Projected prices Every plan

Our AI synthesis of the other sections your plan includes. It projects three prices, one for each horizon, each with the thesis behind it.

How the projected prices are made ↓

FundamentalsEXMP
Revenue$6.2B
EPS · FY26$2.18
Mkt cap$19.6B
P/E, trailing 12 months22.2×

Fundamentals Every plan

Shows
Market cap, P/E and earnings per share. Earnings come from the company's SEC filings and carry their fiscal year.
Feeds the projected prices
Everything it shows, plus how revenue, margins, earnings per share, net cash or debt and share count are trending. Our analysis also sees where P/E sits against the stock's own past range.
Technicals & levelsEXMP
50-DMA$46.78
200-DMA$43.60
RSI58
52-week$39.60–$51.80

Technicals & levels Every plan

Shows
The 50- and 200-day moving averages, RSI and the 52-week range, with today's price marked. Also how the stock has moved over the past five years, or its full history if shorter, across rolling 10-, 63- and 126-trading-day windows: the share that ended higher, the median move and the middle half of outcomes.
Feeds the projected prices
Everything it shows, plus Fibonacci levels drawn from recent price swings and today's volume against its average.
Options & short interestEXMP
Put/call, volume0.72
Short interest3.4% of shares

settled Aug 14 · 2.1 days to cover

Options & short interest Core and Premium

Shows
Put/call ratios for volume and open interest, implied volatility across expiries, skew and open interest by strike. Short interest as a share of shares outstanding, as of its settlement date, with days to cover.
Feeds the projected prices
Implied volatility and the move options price in over each horizon. Where quotes allow, that implied move sets the scale our analysis works to. It also sees skew, put/call ratios, open interest by strike and short interest.
Earnings & dividendsEXMP
Implied move±7.4%

through the Nov 20 expiry

Earnings & dividends Core and Premium

Shows
The next report's date and time, marked confirmed or projected, with the consensus estimates for earnings per share and revenue. The last report against its estimates, labelled GAAP or adjusted. The move options price in for the next report, and the next ex-dividend date and amount.
Feeds the projected prices
The next report's date and time, its estimates and the move options price in for it. Also the last earnings surprise and the next ex-dividend date.
Earnings historyEXMP
Average move±3.5%
Average implied±6.9%

Earnings history Premium

Shows
The last eight reports. Each report shows its beat or miss, and how the stock actually moved against what options implied beforehand.
Feeds the projected prices
How the stock has tended to move on report days, against what options implied.
Large options tradesEXMP
Premiumat least $38M

in large trades, last five sessions

Large options trades Premium

Shows
The largest options trades of the last five sessions. Each trade shows whether it was a call or a put, with its time, strike, expiry, size, premium and where it printed against the bid and ask.
Feeds the projected prices
Everything it shows.
Sector regimeEXMP

Technology — sector strength increasing; valuation premium compressing.

unit narrative · the sector, not the stock

Sector regime Every plan

Shows
A short written summary of what is driving the stock's sector now. It covers things like demand, costs, policy, rotation and the sector's own earnings.
Feeds the projected prices
Its written summary, as the backdrop for the stock.
Peers & relative positionEXMP
P/E 22.2 vs 25.43M +6.1% vs +3.8%
EXMQP/E 24.9 · +4.4%
EXMZP/E 27.3 · +2.9%

open table · subject vs peer median

Peers & relative position Every plan

Shows
The stock's closest peers, with P/E and 3-month return side by side. Also how closely the stock has moved with its sector fund and with the S&P 500 over the last 252 trading days, as beta and correlation of daily returns. Against the S&P 500 alone when the stock has no sector fund.
Feeds the projected prices
Everything it shows.
InsidersEXMP
Net selling−$8.9M

10 of 12 sells under a 10b5-1 plan

Insiders Premium

Shows
Open-market buying and selling by the company's officers and directors over the last six months, from their SEC Form 4 filings.
Feeds the projected prices
Insiders' net buying or selling over those six months.
News & catalystsEXMP

Earnings · Aug 20 — beats Q2 estimates, raises the full-year revenue guide · Company release

Deal · Aug 12 — signs a multi-year supply agreement · Company release

Leadership · Aug 4 — names a new chief financial officer · Form 8-K

Next monthly expirySep 18

News & catalysts Core and Premium

Shows
Recent SEC filings and the material news from major financial newsrooms: earnings, guidance, deals, share offerings, trial outcomes and leadership changes. Each item carries its source, its time and a one-line summary. The next monthly options expiry sits below.
Feeds the projected prices
The recent SEC filings and, on Core and Premium, the headlines, each with its date.
VoicesEXMP

Aug 27 · @handle — Constructive into year-end; capacity, not demand, is the constraint. X ↗

Aug 21 · @handle — The raised guide matters more than the beat itself. X ↗

Aug 14 · @handle — Watching whether margins hold as the new supply deal ramps. X ↗

Each post named, dated and linked in a real analysis.

Voices Core and Premium

Shows
What prominent traders on X are saying about the stock right now. Each post is linked, dated and summed up in one line.
Feeds the projected prices
Each post's summary, with its author and date.
Macro & regimeEXMP
VIX level 14.38 15.4018.7216.0514.381y ago3m ago1m agoNow15.4018.7216.0514.381y ago3m ago1m agoNow
10-year Treasury yield 4.21% 3.86%4.41%4.37%4.21%1y ago3m ago1m agoNow3.86%4.41%4.37%4.21%1y ago3m ago1m agoNow

Macro & regime Every plan

Shows
The macro board: every reading as one graph of a year ago, three months ago, a month ago and now, inside the year's range. The VIX and the S&P 500 lead. Treasury yields, inflation, jobs, recession gauges, the dollar, oil, gold and copper follow. The economic releases reported and the calendar ahead sit below.
Feeds the projected prices
Every reading on the board with its dates, and the economic releases reported and scheduled.

How the projected prices are made

Our AI works through the sections and reaches a call for each horizon.

EXMP analysis Core · as of 11:31 ET

price $48.30 · AUG 28

TODAYAUG 31JUL 312 WKSSEP 14NEAR · 2 WEEKS — Our projection points to $46.603 MOSNOV 30MID · 3 MONTHS — Our projection points to $50.256 MOSMAR 1FAR · 6 MONTHS — Our projection points to $53.65 TODAYAUG 31JUL 312 WKSSEP 14NEAR · 2 WEEKS — Our projection points to $46.603 MOSNOV 30MID · 3 MONTHS — Our projection points to $50.256 MOSMAR 1FAR · 6 MONTHS — Our projection points to $53.65
NEAR · 2 WEEKS · SEP 14
Our projection points to $46.60
MID · 3 MONTHS · NOV 30
Our projection points to $50.25
FAR · 6 MONTHS · MAR 1
Our projection points to $53.65
  1. It weighs the other sections your plan includes.

    It weighs every section your plan shows and the company's recent SEC filings. Core adds the options market, earnings, the news and Voices. Premium adds the largest options trades, earnings history and insiders.

  2. It gets a sense of scale and a calendar for each horizon.

    First, our AI is told how far the stock usually moves over each horizon. On Free, that scale comes from the stock's recent volatility. On Core and Premium, it comes from what options imply, where quotes allow. On every plan it also sees how the stock has actually moved over each horizon across the past five years. It also gets a calendar of what falls inside each horizon. That includes the monthly options expiry, scheduled economic events and, on Core and Premium, the earnings date.

  3. Our AI thinks it through and reaches a call for each horizon.

    It goes through the sections and projects one price for each of the three horizons. They end about two weeks, three months and six months out: 10, 63 and 126 trading days. Each price shows the date it projects to.

FAQ

Questions, answered plainly

How are the projected prices different from a price target?

An analyst's price target is usually one number, a year out. Our analysis gives three projected prices, about two weeks, three months and six months out, each with its date and the thesis behind it. You can open every section it weighed.

What are Voices?

What prominent traders on X are saying about the stock right now. Each post is linked, dated and summed up in one line, and on Core and Premium our analysis weighs them with everything else.

Do Core and Premium change the projected prices?

Yes. Core and Premium give our analysis more to weigh: the news, Voices, earnings and the options market on Core, then the largest options trades, earnings history and insiders on Premium.

Which parts are written by AI?

The three projected prices and the thesis behind each are written by our AI. So are the short summaries in some sections, such as the one-line summary of each news item. Every figure in a section comes from vendor data or public filings, through our own code.

See an analysis of any US-listed stock.

No account needed.

Or get the mobile app →